Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.007115 0.007963 0.008889 0.009977 0.011224 0.012613 0.014284
2025-03-30 0.005966 0.007164 0.008584 0.010405 0.012695 0.015505 0.019248
2025-04-06 0.005030 0.006312 0.007915 0.010089 0.012996 0.016803 0.022250
2025-04-13 0.004377 0.005686 0.007391 0.009810 0.013210 0.017908 0.025048
2025-04-20 0.003962 0.005303 0.007113 0.009784 0.013710 0.019404 0.028549
2025-04-27 0.003736 0.005141 0.007101 0.010104 0.014708 0.021708 0.033578
2025-05-04 0.003448 0.004856 0.006877 0.010074 0.015157 0.023209 0.037537
2025-05-11 0.003228 0.004645 0.006735 0.010138 0.015741 0.024975 0.042194
2025-05-18 0.002996 0.004393 0.006500 0.010025 0.016012 0.026235 0.046131
2025-05-25 0.002845 0.004251 0.006420 0.010147 0.016677 0.028242 0.051770
2025-06-01 0.002670 0.004054 0.006235 0.010071 0.016982 0.029630 0.056420
2025-06-08 0.002458 0.003784 0.005908 0.009718 0.016747 0.029973 0.058981
2025-06-15 0.002318 0.003625 0.005762 0.009687 0.017136 0.031633 0.064813
2025-06-22 0.002268 0.003613 0.005864 0.010113 0.018451 0.035344 0.076045
2025-06-29 0.002101 0.003392 0.005586 0.009807 0.018289 0.035979 0.080212
2025-07-06 0.001957 0.003197 0.005339 0.009537 0.018167 0.036674 0.084671
2025-07-13 0.001862 0.003083 0.005226 0.009512 0.018546 0.038526 0.092497
2025-07-20 0.001822 0.003062 0.005281 0.009821 0.019673 0.042258 0.106275
2025-07-27 0.001739 0.002958 0.005173 0.009792 0.020052 0.044278 0.115756
2025-08-03 0.001674 0.002883 0.005114 0.009854 0.020643 0.046911 0.127741
2025-08-10 0.001594 0.002773 0.004979 0.009745 0.020821 0.048523 0.136993
2025-08-17 0.001545 0.002721 0.004952 0.009863 0.021553 0.051702 0.152232
2025-08-24 0.001479 0.002630 0.004842 0.009789 0.021809 0.053640 0.163842